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Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles

Amazon.com Price:  $4.99 (as of 08/05/2019 19:12 PST- Details)

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Description

Economic and stock market cycles impact companies in every industry. Unfortunately, a confusing array of anecdotal and conflicting indicators continuously renders it unattainable for managers and investors to see where the economy is heading in time to take corrective action. Now, a 35-year Wall Street veteran unveils a new forecasting method to help managers and investors take note and predict the economic cycles that keep an eye on their businesses and financial fates. In Ahead of the Curve, Joseph H. Ellis argues that the problem with current forecasting models lies not in the data, but quite in the lack of a clear framework for putting the data in context and reading it appropriately. The book explains critical economic indicators in nontechnical language, identifies and documents the recurring cause-and-effect relationships that consistently predict turning points in the economy, and provides the tools managers and investors wish to position themselves ahead of cyclical upturns and downturns. Economic events aren’t as random and unpredictable as they seem. This book helps readers recognize and react to signs of change that their rivals don’t see—and win a sizeable competitive advantage. Joseph H. Ellis used to be a partner at Goldman Sachs and used to be ranked for 18 consecutive years by Institutional Investor magazine as Wall Street’s No.1 retail industry analyst.

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