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How Long Will South Africa Survive?: The Looming Crisis

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In 1977, Johnson’s best selling How Long Will South Africa Continue to exist? offered a controversial and highly original analysis of the survival prospects of apartheid. Now, after more than two decades of the ANC in government, he believes the question will have to be posed again. “The big question about ANC rule,” Johnson writes, “is whether African nationalism would have the ability to cope with the challenges of running a up to date industrial economy. Twenty years of ANC rule have shown conclusively that the party is hopelessly unwell equipped for this task. Indeed, the whole lot suggests that South Africa under the ANC is fast slipping backward and that even the survival of South Africa as a unitary state cannot be taken without any consideration. The fundamental this is because the question of regime change should be posed is that it is now clear that South Africa can either make a choice to have an ANC government or it can have a up to date industrial economy. It cannot have both.”

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